Sen. Robert Menendez, chairman of the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations,
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This is a negotiating strategy. The existing sanctions have cut Iran oil exports by more than half and crashed the value of its currency. If Iran knows that Congress is eager to tighten those sanctions further in the event of a breakdown in talks,
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am not trying to scuttle the deal, Menendez told The Star Ledger on Monday. trying to strengthen the White House hand. It leaves Iran with the capacity to create nuclear weapons down the road, but most experts believe it will at least give the West more warning time if Iran makes the final decision to build a bomb. It will end Iran production of medium enriched uranium, and require it to convert its most dangerous uranium into a form that is more difficult to convert to bomb material. United Nations experts will be permitted to inspect the critical sites each day.
In return, the international community will loosen its choke hold on the Iranian economy, mostly by allowing Iran to recover funds that have been frozen in foreign banks. The relief amounts to about $7 billion, equal to about six weeks of oil losses under the sanctions. The oil and banking sanctions will remain in place.
The goal is to relax tensions for a six month period while a final deal is negotiated. This d could yield broader benefits as well. Like it or not, Iran is a key player in Syria, Iraq and Afghanistan. It would be irrational to miss this chance to lessen tensions.
Yes, the agreement carries risks. The chief worry is that Iran will refuse the concessions needed to strike a final deal,
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This is very different from the objections of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who opposes the relaxation of sanctions and has pressed Obama to threaten a military attack if Iran crosses defined lines in its nuclear program. In that hard line, there is an echo of Netanyahu refusal to make reasonable concessions toward the Palestinians over the occupied territories of the West Bank.
A military strike would be disastrous. Iran has dozens of nuclear sites, many of them in urban areas and some of them hidden in deep underground bunkers. An attack would require a sustained campaign of airstrikes lasting weeks, and would inevitably kill many civilians and ensure more violent conflict with Iran and its proxies.
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